Prediction Market

Prediction Market is a dedicated trading module within the Match-Trader platform that allows brokers to offer their clients the ability to speculate on the outcomes of real-world events - political, economic, sporting, and more. Instead of trading traditional instruments, users take positions on binary outcomes (e.g. “Will candidate X win the election?”) by trading YES or NO instruments for each possible outcome.

Each event is represented as a Bet. A Bet contains one or more Outcomes, and each Outcome is backed by a pair of native PRED-type instruments in the trading engine - one for the YES side and one for the NO side. Prices on these instruments move in the range of 0 to 1, reflecting the implied probability of that outcome occurring.

The endpoints in this section cover data retrieval: browsing available events, viewing event details, and resolving which instruments correspond to each outcome. Actual trading (opening and closing positions on YES/NO instruments) is handled by the standard trading endpoints under the Trading section. A dedicated API permission is required to access the Prediction Market endpoints.